Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 1121.933889 1283.158074 1465.373690 1687.763341 1953.469876 2262.759897 2652.964541
2025-06-01 878.564451 1085.623462 1343.657817 1693.750907 2164.049304 2785.323901 3687.720413
2025-06-08 747.651590 968.276078 1260.301735 1684.197581 2299.497053 3186.133438 4611.313181
2025-06-15 670.645131 902.511028 1225.097843 1720.900650 2490.654380 3689.556734 5806.689244
2025-06-22 587.278396 813.402042 1140.104312 1664.891946 2524.054607 3949.107037 6671.253178
2025-06-29 523.320963 742.818781 1070.399454 1617.251278 2555.734099 4203.764655 7591.187476
2025-07-06 469.104620 679.871856 1003.260514 1561.418320 2559.849044 4405.216556 8462.854362
2025-07-13 447.134254 663.399668 1005.810320 1619.871555 2772.746548 5037.399926 10445.168539
2025-07-20 420.579439 636.512539 987.674654 1638.615843 2913.752728 5559.074774 12375.144294
2025-07-27 400.009002 617.017698 979.166024 1672.521036 3089.148612 6194.653724 14854.943396
2025-08-03 380.258712 596.811353 966.852950 1696.854210 3248.561913 6834.745956 17646.083180
2025-08-10 367.454643 587.080121 971.661698 1754.458741 3489.667772 7735.555939 21695.730981
2025-08-17 349.781253 568.197548 959.527205 1780.032482 3673.681403 8574.093478 26164.817041
2025-08-24 330.082434 544.158423 935.636027 1778.693982 3797.450089 9301.279037 30796.573033
2025-08-31 311.584999 520.593917 910.013505 1769.575920 3899.934824 10003.193919 35892.065026
2025-09-07 300.140810 509.022014 906.436209 1808.458945 4133.995581 11193.399818 44275.234320
2025-09-14 279.558974 478.597995 862.332308 1748.935131 4093.605891 11486.415011 48542.813405
2025-09-21 261.747080 452.187330 824.074151 1698.308741 4068.747519 11830.449470 53499.032466
2025-09-28 244.661723 426.024357 784.168583 1639.007339 4008.739221 12035.590657 57931.057162
2025-10-05 239.917071 423.620090 793.635209 1701.092822 4319.065194 13754.826292 74539.707404
2025-10-12 231.804866 413.901705 786.586514 1721.008797 4506.945590 15086.626295 90739.620514
2025-10-19 225.513397 407.376025 785.834699 1757.041741 4755.850515 16807.900908 113757.227442
2025-10-26 218.816871 399.529779 781.429143 1782.908541 4978.959257 18542.533745 141302.202340